no offence taken, everyone has a diff view, and thats a good thing coz everyone gets to learn more info. may be you dont care about past history, may be you rather focus on few yrs , that might be just fine for you. what my point is, in a financial world, the market cannot be predicted based on 6months and 1 yr cycle. may be you r a short term investor, but i prefer long term, atleast 5-10 yrs. regardless,whatever makes moeny for you, is good for you. and again..no offence.