Nepal's TPS will most likely be renewed. The conditions in Nepal haven't improved (outside KTM) so there is a reasonable basis for an extension. Also, fewer recipients than Haiti and El Salvador and that Nepal's extension will help in projecting a humanitarian image of the US government like khaikhok points out (good balancer for not extending Haiti/El Salvador TPS). New DHS chief also seems to have better familiarity with Nepal's earthquake situation. We shall find out in less than 3 months.

If terminated, we should still get 18 months to leave the country or transition into a different status.