It’s time to be a good neighbour
Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who is believed to understand the concept of a shared South Asian “commons”, is seen as having missed a unique opportunity to unify the people of the region. The introduction of a new Constitution in Nepal presented a chance to alter the entrenched belief that the outcomes of India’s special relationship with Nepal will always be unfair. Instead, weeks of suffering from the ‘blockade’ have led the Nepalese to drown in suspicion: may be India didn’t like the new Constitution; it knew northern trade points were still damaged by the quake; it callously imposed a weeks-long blockade on their crippled country; the international community silently stayed on India’s good side; and once Nepal’s government agreed to change the Constitution, the blockade appeared to ease. Unfortunately for India, most Nepalis blame Prime Minister Modi, the public face of the Indian government in Nepal.
An uneven interdependence
The relationship between India and Nepal is complex, but should it be
damaged thus? India increasingly needs Nepal to safeguard its vital
interests. But Nepal depends on India far more. Nearly all of its fuel
imports come from the Indian Oil Corporation. The Nepalese Rupee
continues to be pegged to the Indian Rupee. India is Nepal’s main
trading partner, and the border is open. Nepalis have served in the
Indian Army, and receive pensions in retirement. By some estimates, one
seventh of the entire population of Nepal resides and works in India.
Despite this uneven interdependence, Indian diplomats have sought to cultivate the delicate impression that they are not viceroys. Even before the recent events, they strained to convey that India cared about the well-being of the people of Nepal, regardless of political uncertainties. They reiterate that they attach the greatest importance to the relationship between India and Nepal.
The people of Nepal are confused by the mixed messages. After eight years and two elections, they finally wrote a Constitution that they feel India coldly acknowledged. India then reacted indifferently, in their view, to the impending humanitarian crisis. Furthermore, they saw Prime Minister Modi’s invitation to the new Prime Minister of Nepal to visit New Delhi as a ‘summons’. So they ask, does India care about the people of Nepal or is it concerned only about its interests? Is it ready to subject an entire population of more than 27 million to eat bitterness, right when it hurts most, to get what it wants? How retributive is India going to be when the ups and downs of neighbouring democratic processes lead to outcomes it may not like?
Change perceptions
There is a critical need for India to shape perceptions in Nepal and
erase misunderstanding. It must reaffirm the unity of the people of
Nepal while recognising their diversity. Next, it should act visibly to
provide relief to those facing scarcity just as the holiday season
begins. This current crisis has political origins. But India should
respond as it did after the earthquake. It was the compassionate first
responder, decisive and focussed on alleviating the palpable suffering
of the population of a neighbouring country.
Nobody denies India’s immense power in Nepal. With power comes responsibility. As long as the people of Nepal perceive the outcomes of the special relationship to be unfair, it will be difficult to secure their cooperation. It is up to Prime Minister Modi to change that. South Asia and the world are watching.
(Nirupama Rao, a former Foreign Secretary of India and former Ambassador to China and the U.S., is currently at the Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, Brown University, U.S. Atul Pokharel is a postdoctoral fellow from Nepal at the Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs. )