Why current ceasefire? 1. To reorganize: transfer the explosives and weapons to their stronghold. They needed a time. BRB wrote long time ago in Kantipur, that Mao had said when opponent is strong you retreat: with a step back, and when you are strong make offensive attacks. Well, Mao was not necessary for this statement, but, Maoists follow Mao's words but, not all word only a few: Mao did not say janata ko sampata loota, he said if you borrow it, return it. Its not happening. They are using Maoist words to strengthen themselves not public opinion. But, to strengthen fears. 2. Maoists in India: specially in Bihar are caught day by day. It matters in Nepal because they don't large stock of Ammunitions in Nepal. So, cut in supply from India means virtual stop in Nepal, instead of slowing down the fear in Nepal, its a Buddimani to announce ceasefire. 3. Its another trick to ask government to release Maoists in Jail. Its what they did last time. Once most of the important Maoists were released by govt. they withdrew ceasefire and went to war. In reciprocation, how many citizens the Maoists captured were left free? Practically none. Because, when someone disagrees with Maoists, their policy is run a fatwa against him/her, then, catch and kill. Its a fact for last 8 years. Peoples in DC don't have to fear, thats why they can be Maoist supporter so that once Maoist come to power can are dreaming to be offer to occupy a nice revolving chair in Nepal. Its not going to happen, dears. 4. These days public support have declined because of the random killing in Kathmandu. Political parties are so much polarized that Maoist news are not on top line as it used to be. Now, Girija is on top news because he knows how to be on top news by creating rheoteric (chk. spl). statements. In this polarized situation, public attention was diverted from Maoists. Ceasefire is another nice way to be on news media. A maoist supporter once told to me that it needs regular killing or fear to remain on news. 5. World politics has changed since 9/11. Maoists have changed their positions since then. They are trying to get attention of Americans. They did not speak a word when 12 Nepalis were killed in Iraq. Maoists have killed Nepalis in Nepal for the same reason Nepalis were killed by Iraq terrorists: that is helping Americans. Its not killers are different but their reasoning is same. A Pokharel, security officer in US embassies and plu another person was killed in Kathmandu a couple of years ago for the same reason...... Recently, Maoist Bombed US ... Center in KTM. Maoist leadership even scared to take responsibility. They ran different story. Now, Americans are not asked to visit to Nepal, but, are asked to keep away from Nepal. Under such scenario, the tourists are in decline and Biz. houses are not paying money (ransom) to Maoists from back door, but, without biz. in move they can not pay ransom? All small to biz. house have to pay ransom to Maoists in order remain working, otherwise they become baliko boko. So, to allow them biz. at this peak season, the ceasefire is good move. Its not sole reason but, its a reason. ...... GP