India's policy towards nepa has always been two pillar system in nepal. earlier one pillar was monarchy and other pillar was so called political parties. now that monarchy is gone, one pillar is the maoists (and other communist parties) and they wanted to establish congress (with democratic alliance: recall surya bahadur thapa talking about loktantrik morcha) as the other pillar. since that did not materialize and alternative for other pillar can only be nepali army. but if maoist succeed in throwing out katwal, then they can install maoist loyalist as c-in-c in the army, so only one pillar will remain. thats why i think it india supporting katwal now.