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On some larger questions raised by various posters:
Pire and other thinking posters have raised some very difficult questions that
I admire these tough questions. However, I think what is more important is the answers- not the sentimental or ideal answers, but the cold and REALISTIC ones.
Here are what I think might be solution/answers to some of the questions raised here. I admit that mine too is full of idealism if not sentiments. However this is the best I could do. And oh yes, I will be repetitive to many of my older kurakanis. Bear with me on that.
Justice to the victims of Maoist abuses and loot:
Nothing significant seem going to happen in any near future, primarily because the republican civil society which has the most political legitimacy and therefore leverages too, at this point of time, is totally obsessed with Maoist’s political successes. Formally unrepublican (or anti-republican) section of the civil society, on the other hand, does not have that kind of leverage at this point. So, Nepali “civil society”, at this point, is handicapped as far as opposing Maoist in any way is concerned.
Next, the political parties. First, NC. It is in such a complicated situation that does not allow it to do more than paying lip service to these causes or using it for self-serving purposes. First of all, NC has not recovered from it’s soul-draining defeat in the election. Even if otherwise, it has reasons to subdue rather than raise the issue of past abuses. If the matter is raised in a comprehensive way, GP Koirala’s abuses since early years of Maoist insurgency and Deuba’s part particularly in the abuses occurred during the “emergency period” are there to be accounted for.
UML, on the other hand, is in a cleaner and freer position to fight for these causes. But it won’t do it due to it’s own uncertain future. However, if somehow, UML could survive and got power, it is in the best position and with understandable incentive to bring all abusers to justice and deliver justice to all victims. Might that happen ? Yes, there is a possibility, no matter how weak.
Despite these political adversity and, if I can say so, betrayal of the elite civil society at this moment, I believe that the time of justice shall come. It could be legal justice, it could be moral justice or even poetic justice or combination of all. But it should come.
Basically the abuse is so widespread and victims so numerous, it is not going to be lost from social memory for next 2-3 decades. So all it needs is a maukaa.
I can think of three such maukaas.
One, which now seems pretty unlikely, though, is the miraculous political-moral transformation of Maoists. There was a hope among super-optimist section of certain political pundits that, a super-generous opportunity such as victory in election despite all the abuses/excesses and destruction, not to mention defying all political pundit’s opposite suggestion, that Nepali people offered to Maoist might eventually open their third eye to see how desperate Nepali people are for some god damned peace and a chance to pick up the pieces and move forward while anything better than the “old Nepal”, if indeed happens, would be a bonus. And in such an intense enlightenment, Maoist might come up with ways to heal the would of people, fill the gap of leadership and drive the nation on a long awaited path of semblance and whatever progress possible. Maoist activities of past 8 months shows that Maoist either does not have that third eye or it is going to take infinity to open it. I am not sure what is going through the mind of Nepali voters who had voted for Maoists at this moment. Are they still hopeful ? Are they still patient ? I can’t say with certainty. So unless a miracle happens to transform Maoist from a democracy fearing animal to a democracy loving one, from a butcher to a self-sacrificing prani and a healer and from a distributor of poverty to a creator of wealth within a short time before people’s hopes and patient run out, this avenue is closed.
Another avenue could be not less miraculous transformation of NC from an individual worshipping and lethargic party to at least minimally acceptable leading party for Nepali voters which I believe is only possible when at least Koirala and Deuba are out of power or this world hence equipping it with some liberty and incentive not to defend the state abuses of the past. NC’s ideological identity with the rule of law and other fundamental premise of democracy (although imperfectly practiced or malpracticed so far) together with the awakened civil society’s (hopefully/presumably disillusioned with Maoist by then) awareness might open the door of legal justice.
So would the unconfused, spine-acquired and invigorated UML, if and when re-invented, do.
If none of these avenues opened, then, there is going to be divine intervention and all culprits are going to get what is called poetic justice. I am not sure about the exact form of that justice though.
Future of Maoist:
Radical Maoists are clearly misunderstanding or disregarding the popular mandate that was for peace, democracy and economy. The presumed moderate Maoists leadership does not have (could not gather) brains well versed in modern governance, management and smart economy. All they have is their own brain washed and combative cadres and some useless chakadibaj support of a few individuals from outside.
They certainly managed their bandook and political tactics very successfully. But when it comes to governance, those skills are irrelevant or insufficient. Maoist needed to transform themselves into a whole new peace time party able to attract the necessary manpower, as I said, one well versed in modern governance, management and smart economy. They failed to transform. Worse, they even failed to wish to transform. The result is that they do not have a good team of experts with them yet. The result of which is that they are clueless as far as economic transformation of
So, unless some miracle (transformation) happens, I do not see a bright future of Maoist.
Maoist is blowing up the opportunity Nepali people gave to them by not understanding that it had to undergo a painful transformation (as much painful as giving up radicalism and getting rid of or re-indoctrinating the brain-washed cadres !) in order to be able to carry out the popular mandate they have received from the election.
Gun, muscle and bluffs of bikas are not going to help Maoist. Nepali people will be constantly testing new options, no matter how dramatic it might look, until they find one that gives them they are waiting for- peace and prosperity. Maoist does not seem to be that party at least at this point, at least to me.
Ganatantra:
Ganatantra is no more an issue of dispute. It is already a national resolve at all levels. For those who still think monarchy was sustainable, useful or necessary, if realpolitik consoles in any way, the fact is that, in politics, to be successful is what matters. Monarchy in its traditional form did not make it. So mourn and get over it. Well, actually, ganatantra provides a whole new chance for monarchy to prove its relevance through a new form called dynasty politics doing well in many democracies. Gyanendra Shah is free to enter into politics. As a matter of fact, as a democratic candidate, Gyanendra Shah does not at all make an inferior candidate to GP Koirala or Puspa Kamal Dahal “Prachanda”. And that was one justification for ganatantra.
As for the report card of ganatantra, while ganatantra is still what it is supposed to be- a new national resolve, a tool to mainstream Maoist (incomplete yet, though) and an icon for Nepal’s social-political and economic transformation (largely unstarted yet, again), ganatantrabadis are not doing well.
The biggest shortcoming of the ganatantrabadis is that they are in an easy illusion/carelessness that their duty is to beat the monarchy to death and nothing else. Keep cursing, beating and even fear-mongering about the revival of monarchy samantabad and your duty is over ! Once Prachanda has made fun of NC and UML leadrs for keeping the attack on on the dead monarchy with the sound byte “mareko baagh ko jungaa ukhelirahechhan !” Today, both Prachada and republican civil society elites are doing the same, actually more ridiculous act, मरेर पनि कुहिसकेको बाघको कंकालको जुँगा उखेलिरहेका छन् !
I have been saying since the beginning of the pro-republican civil society’s andolan, in my private communication and in forums like this, that the society has three enemies to fight, not in priority of one to another, but simultaneously, and they are: (1) monarchy for it’s elimination, (2) NC/UML’s incompetent leadership and lack of internal democracy for making them competent enough to provide the leadership to the transformation of Nepal and, (3) Maoist violence and anachronistic ideology to mainstream them in the new republican mainstream being established.
(1) is finished and (2) and (3) are still relevant.
Conclusion
सारांशमा, माओवादीहरुले नेपालको आवश्यकता (शान्ति, कानुनीराज र तिब्र आर्थिक मार्गचित्र) अनुसारको राम्रा शासक हुनको निम्ति आफ्नो जुन रुप-परिवर्तन गरेर देखाईसक्नुपर्नेथियो, त्यो अलिकति पनि गरेका छैनन् र गर्ने छाँट पनि देख्दिन म । मलाई लाग्छ माओवादी विद्रोही रुप, बौद्धिक श्रोतको कमी, आत्म-रुपान्तरणमा अविश्वास र पुन: विद्रोही स्वरुपको यथास्थितिको दुस्चक्र (vicious cycle) मा फसेको छ र त्यसबाट मुक्ति दिलाउन प्रचण्ड वा बाबुराम समेत असमर्थ भएका छन्, अरु गरमवादीहरुको त के कुरा गराई भो र ?
त्यसैले माओवादीबाट आत्मरुपान्तरण र मुलुकको सुशासनको आसा हाललाई देखिदैन ।
तर त्यो भन्दा पनि दुर्भाग्य त के हो भने नेपाली कांग्रेस, एमाले र अन्य नयाँ दल समेत बौद्धिक दरिद्रता, आन्तरिक अव्यवस्था र क्षणिक दलिय स्वार्थको च्याँखेथाप रोगबाट ग्रसित अस्वस्थ दलको रुपमा छन् र तीनले माओवादीको सारा कमजोरीको वावजुद माओवादीको असल विकल्प दिदैदन् । यो हो हाम्रो हाल ।
अझ त्यति दुर्भाग्यले नपुगेर होला, गणतन्त्रबादी नागरीक समाजका संभ्रान्त अगुवापंक्ति माओवादीको सत्तारोहण सम्मको सफलताबाट अभिभुत भएर माओवादीको शासकिय असफलता वा त्यसको संकेत देख्न नसक्ने गरी लठ्ठिएका छन् ।
अब हामी साईबर सक्रियतावादी र हाम्रा धरातलिय भातृत्वले अहिले के गर्न सक्छम त ?
1. माओवादीलाई अब हामी तिम्रो विकल्प खोज्न निक्लेम, केही गर्नु छ भने गरीहाल भनेर सूचना दिने
2. अन्य राजनैतिक दललाई पनि यो सूचना फरवार्ड गर्ने र खास गरेर दुई ठूला दल नेका र एमालेलाई शान्तिप्रक्रिया, राहत र सुशासनको थालनी र सम्विधानको आधारभूत अवधारणा (खास गरेर व्यावहारिक संघियता सहितको, जसको पेचिलो विवाद मुलुकको विखण्डनसम्म गएर टुंगिन सक्ने सम्भावित डर जो छ) सहितको अवधारणापत्र जारी गरेर आफ्नो बौद्धिक श्रोत र नेतृत्वशक्तिको विज्ञापन गर्न लगाउने ।
3. गणतन्त्रवादी नागरिक समाजलाई माओवादीको मोहनीबाट मुक्त गर्न ढ्याङग्रो ढोक्ने ।
यही हो मैले देखेको पर्खाल र बाटोहरु ।
Nepe