Posted by: rohitgrg April 22, 2008
The doomsday forecaster
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BBCs Rabindra Mishra relishes the opportunities to speak few things in favor of the King, always. In his latest analysis, he concludes-

''...many worry that the power struggle between the Maoists and non-Maoists is likely to drag the muddled political process in Nepal for many years to come, leaving the people where they are.''

 - http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/south_asia/7360223.stm

In October 2007, he wrote-
''Most analysts agree that the Maoists have little chance of doing this through competitive politics...They are not ruling out bloodshed between the army and the Maoists, who have concentrated a large number of their members in Kathmandu...
From all this mess, it is King Gyanendra who is gaining
. From a position of rock-bottom unpopularity, when he had to give up power in April, 2006, his standing has been gradually picking up - thanks to the chaos and discord among the political parties and Maoists. ''

 - http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/south_asia/7033689.stm

In April 2002, he was predicting a coup. Which did happen after 1.5 years .

''
there can still be a coup in Nepal and can last for years, if the current politicians
continue to show total disregard to the people's wishes, as they have been
doing for the past 12 years. They have taken people like us for granted and
they believe we would never turn our back on democracy, whatever the
circumstances. I think they are wrong. So this time around if there will
ever be a coup, it will be a coup prompted and supported by the majority of
the people, probably like in Pakistan, who are fed up with the situation of
the country. Those who will come out on the street against it will only be
the active members of the student wings of different political parties and
not the 'janata' as such.''

 http://www.sajha.com/archives/openthread.cfm?threadid=4654&dsn=sajhaarchive


Further back in December 1998, he wrote and article called 'Confucius's teaching and the King's illness -

''At present, the King is the only figure the overwhelming majority of Nepalese view with genuine respect and regard despite all the mistakes he is supposed to have made during the panchayat era...Therefore, I doubt that the King, who is well aware of his growing popularity, may have instructed to do so, which was certain to disappoint the press and the public.''

 - http://library.wustl.edu/~listmgr/tnd/0295.html

There are dozens of articles that articulate the special relationship between Mr Mishra's sentiments and the Nepalis royal palace. These may be mere coincidences or perhaps his readers' prejudices against the monarchy. However, one can feel the difference in his mood when he writes or interviews on Maoists, Kangresis and Emales at one time and Tulsi Giris, Kirtinidhi Bista and Kamal Thapa at the other times.  He is quite optimistic and uplifted when the Monarchy has the upperhand.  and very dismal and pessimistic when things are going the other way round. Like his doomsday predictions in the latest article. Sometimes you feel like wow this man is such a great interviewer. The other time you feel like is this guy in the Palace's payroll? But perhaps he has taken it that the days for Monarchy are now over. And perhaps the doomsday forecast will gradually plummet.

But hey, this is Nepali politics! And his predictions may well come true as they did in Feb 2005.
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