Posted by: AdjunctProf April 14, 2008
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Other than trying to recruit their loyal people in Police Forces, bureaucracy and key positions such as ambassadors, all UML was able to do was to bring one populist (may be productive) program named "build your own village" (afno gaon afai banau). Later, NC copied the same program with a different name.
There is a very little chance that Maoist will do much more than what UML did.
There are a couple of things of interest:
1. Dr. Baburam Bhattarai spent a lot of years of his political life in India. He should very well know the sensitivity of Nepali politics with respect to India - for that matter, it is possible that he already has won the confidence from India. If this is the case, Maoist is going to be a very difficult nut to crack for NC and UML.
2. Prachanda and Baburam Bhattarai sitting together in a meeting with Carter gives a very bright signal that US's foreign policy is amenable to Maoist. Remember Prachanda requesting Carter to remove them from US terrorist list?
3. The only Prime Minister that was able to win US's confidence was Sher Bahadur Deuba in the aftermath of 1990, but was sacked by the internal politics of NC. If Prachanda and Baburam somehow become able to gain that kind of bond with India and US, Maoist could be heading for a looong haul.
4. Provided that the above 3 postulates apply, CPMN is only a democratic party with a socialist-tint - as someone above has commented.
There is a big if for all these statements to be worth considering. The if is that -- if nothing happens within the next 72 hours. Please keep the following fluidly factors:
1. Why would KG not fight his uphill battle before shedding his inherited prowess? KG is a leading variable of the new equation. No-one ignoreth!
2. Girija's love for chair may push him to amalgamate with KG - this has happened in the past.
3. Deuba may propose himself before KG as a sacrificial lamb - remember he has done this in the past, he may do it now!!!
4. The Moists' victory has caught all the variables (US, India, and China) pretty much off guard. They may instantly brew some coffee - much before you or I could smell it!!!
The time span of 72 hours is very crucial - if nothing happens within this span, I am pretty positive that the Maoists will be another Democratic Party with lot of socialist inclinations. The communist jargons will come into play again during local election. You and I will witness lots of changes but no change will affect the ultimate rich and ultimate poor.
There is a very little chance that Maoist will do much more than what UML did.
There are a couple of things of interest:
1. Dr. Baburam Bhattarai spent a lot of years of his political life in India. He should very well know the sensitivity of Nepali politics with respect to India - for that matter, it is possible that he already has won the confidence from India. If this is the case, Maoist is going to be a very difficult nut to crack for NC and UML.
2. Prachanda and Baburam Bhattarai sitting together in a meeting with Carter gives a very bright signal that US's foreign policy is amenable to Maoist. Remember Prachanda requesting Carter to remove them from US terrorist list?
3. The only Prime Minister that was able to win US's confidence was Sher Bahadur Deuba in the aftermath of 1990, but was sacked by the internal politics of NC. If Prachanda and Baburam somehow become able to gain that kind of bond with India and US, Maoist could be heading for a looong haul.
4. Provided that the above 3 postulates apply, CPMN is only a democratic party with a socialist-tint - as someone above has commented.
There is a big if for all these statements to be worth considering. The if is that -- if nothing happens within the next 72 hours. Please keep the following fluidly factors:
1. Why would KG not fight his uphill battle before shedding his inherited prowess? KG is a leading variable of the new equation. No-one ignoreth!
2. Girija's love for chair may push him to amalgamate with KG - this has happened in the past.
3. Deuba may propose himself before KG as a sacrificial lamb - remember he has done this in the past, he may do it now!!!
4. The Moists' victory has caught all the variables (US, India, and China) pretty much off guard. They may instantly brew some coffee - much before you or I could smell it!!!
The time span of 72 hours is very crucial - if nothing happens within this span, I am pretty positive that the Maoists will be another Democratic Party with lot of socialist inclinations. The communist jargons will come into play again during local election. You and I will witness lots of changes but no change will affect the ultimate rich and ultimate poor.