I am confused with some of the sentences written by Nepali Newspapers and also here in Sajha, examples: "landslide win of the Maoist" or "Maoists near 2/3 majority" etc.
My observation is quite opposite. Correct me if I am wrong!
Even if the current trend continues, Maoists won't have even a "simple majority" in CA. Since CA composed of 240 seats (FPTP) + 330 (PR) + 31 (nominated, probably by Girija Prasad Koirala, before Maoist takes charge of the government). My predictions for the Maoists are:
1. They take up to 140 seats out of 240 FPTP seats (58% maximum)
2. They will have one third of the total votes in PR: 110 seats (33%)
3. Total seats they will have= 250 out of 601 seat CA (41.6%)
Even if 31 nominated seats goes to them (which is unlikely!), they will have 281 seats out of 601-seat CA (Maximum of 46.8%).
Am I right ?
OK