Syakuu,

I don't know which constituency Ghandruk falls in. I think it should be either in Cont 1 or Cont 4. If it is in 1, there are Khagaraj (UML), Yagya B Thapa (NC) and Dev Grg (Mao) among others. In 4, there are Sita Giri (UML), Prakash Grg (NC), Dugra BK (Mao)..................

In both 1 and 4, NC is considered lil ahead coz of fight between UML and Mao. As I mentioned earlier, 3 is safer area for UML. In 2, however, UML's Gaj K Grg is relatively a new face despite the party having a good base, which may make a big difference in election.

That said, I still consider that UML and NC have chance of winning two contituencies each. Would be no surprise if it goes like 1:3 or 3:1 either way.