Captain Haddock,

Manuj Chaudhary (a pseudo name of some journalist) had an article in some publication of Kantipur some time ago in which he was sharing views very similar to yours (No, I am not suspecting you ;-) )

I had a small discussion with a friend on that and I had shared my quite opposite view that there is no room for any kind of dictatorship in Nepal for next several years.

Here are excerpts from that conversation.

“Manuj Chaudhary has an interesting reading and speculation. However, I think there is a zero chance for any dictatorship to emerge immediately or in a foreseeable future. The simple reason is that, there is no power/force/group/party in Nepal that has not been tested and not failed to disappoint people already. So a forceful grabbing of power by any existing power in Nepal is impossible (to happen and sustain).

If a new power unknown before appeared in Nepal somehow, could impress the people with it's vision and/or some introductory activities and dared to grab the power somehow, then there would be a chance, although still a slim one due to various other factors, for a dictatorship or whatever it would like to, emerge in Nepal.

Meaning, the dictatorship first then good works (dictatorship --> good works) path is impossible in Nepal.

Good works first, then dictatorship (good works --> dictatorship) is possible.

Not only possible, it is inevitable. Anybody who can demonstrate some good work will not just be supported but will be worshipped. A sure way to lead to one or the other kind of authoritarian rule, if not dictatorship.

Putting all together, the only possible route to a dictatorship in Nepal is to get to power first through a legitimate means (election or common agreement) and do some good works to impress the people.

In another words, that is not going to happen for next few years or until perhaps second election.”

Nepe