Kalki Kapil, u r right. CA election is a big joke that's never going to happen.

No doubt, fair CA election is the only outlet for the present crisis. But, the present power share holders[Gidde (Girija)and Pranchande take the country down to hell company] and the newer oppertunistic groups emerged to get their chunk by means of threat ( Terai armed groups and Jana Jatis)  will never allow to happen it. Whoever says whatever, the main cause for the earlier cancellation of the CA election was the fear of Maoists to get wiped out in the election. What improvement has happened to enhance their public image so that they are hopeful for a better public support? No thing. My doubt is that there's some secret syndicate formed between NC, Maoist and the UML about providing a guarenteed amount of representation for the Maoist in the upcoming assembly. The 26 or 29 seats allowed for direct nomination could be a part of that deal. The Thakur ( Mahantha) and the other oppertunistic groups have already smelled this deal and they are not going to give up unless they get their own chunk too. This is happening because the core concept of the peace process was wrong. If the state surrenders to a terrorist group to fulfill their demands, other goups will naturally spring up.

The other immediate threat for CA is Gidde Prasad himself. Some people may find this point little bit odd, but let me explain. The country is not as it was a decade ago. No body knows who is going to get how much vote. The country has already been divided into pro-republic vs pro-monarchists. Despite all these propogandas and the media influence, there's a significant number of  people who still favor for a Hindu country with a constitutional monarchy. Now the NC has to get its vote from non-communist prorepublic, about the size of which Girija himself is not confident of. We will see the drama unfold in the coming days, but one thing is sure, any of these groups, Gidde Prasad or Maoists or Jana Jatis or Terai armed group will stop the election.