Krugman or William J. Baumol should be awarded the Nobel economics prize...Methinks Krugman may be snubbed as he has often been considered too young, rebellious and brash by most of the senior academicians around (Just like Mundell was in his earlier days...However, he did sing "I did it my way" on the victory podium that day!!).  Baumol is on the brink of his career: still at NYU and I had the opportunity to meet up with the fellow a coupla years ago.  IMHO, looks like Baumol has the highest chance so far...I could be wrong but to each his own!!  Also, What about Greenspan for his role as the Fed chief??  He could defntly end up being the dark-horse here.