well, i am not saying this based upon what i read from kantipur or other news portals for that matter. to my view, april revolution was the decisive factor. it was a movement by the people and for the people. forget spam, but local people from within 100 km radius from ktm came and particiapted. it was their call. they want the monarchy to give away. forget spa, but even maoists were up for CA and its verdict, but it was common people like us who initiated and mobilzed the movement. I don't know about SPA, but maoists have already examined people's pulse. just a food for thought. about 60% of nepalese population are under 25 yrs of age. and that's quite a lot. i don't think youth will go for monarchy if there is a referendum. it will be majorly for royalists benefit if they can push and if possible not let refrendum to happen. SPA are still skeptical about the existence of monarchy. they are short of confidence, big time. they think that if monarchy does not exist tomorrow, then nepal will be a communist republic led by maoists, by default. Loote