ImI wrote: >Do you think middle people really trust maoist that they will be ready to bargain for it. Of course people can not trust the ARMED Maoists. That is exactly why I think they will accept bargain (to whom it may look like) of republic for DISARMAMENT and mainstreaming of the Maoists. >The true nature of maoist is not mystery to nepalese.even >after the 25 point code of conduct .recently they abducted >250 students.So that bargaining would be quite costly. It's true that Maoists are still continuing "extortions" and "abductions". However, it is not to the extent that people say 'enough is enough'. If it ever came to that point, people have both courage and logistics to do "Jana-andolan" against the Maoists. People defied the Royal Nepal Army. What are Maoist militia ? >about international support: Nepal cannot even move one >step further without international support So saying that there >was no external influence in janadloan ii is questionable. International support for Jana-andolan was largely GENERAL and LIMITED and was never meant to disimpower the King the way Jana-andolan actually meant and did it. That is why I said International community meant nothing. What better can illustrate this than international community's call for accepting King's first offer of premiership to SPA and people's outright rejection ? > you raised the point about fair election.I still don't think >there is going to be fair election Strictly speaking, you are right. There is not going to be a fair and free election of CA. First, it is going to be held under the shadow of Maoists gun (however hidden or "sequestered"). (Maoists have said they will not disarm themselves before the election and the general mass seem to be okay with that. Then, CA happened to become a child of Jana-andolan. So it has a tacit obligation to follow the mandate of Jana-andolan. So, CA will neither be fair nor will be free. In all practicality, the election of CA will just be a formality to pass the republic rather than a free and fair contest between monarchy and republic. >About UML , there are both kind of forces in UML.So cannot >really say they would go 100% with republic .They may be divided >in this issue .As well as fear of maoist exteremism might hinder their >thoughts. UML leadership had two kinds of people- decisive pro-republic an indecisive pro-republic. In post-andolan time, all have become decisive pro-republic. As for fear of Maoist's extremism, it is straight forward that Maoists will remain more extremist if they are left out and less extremist if they are brought in the mainstream. So I do not think UML leaders would reject Maoists on that basis. >I think at this point all the forces should unite against maoist >and stop impsoing thier idealogy on nepalese people.however >it may be .by defending king if it comes down to that. May be. However, that's not gonna happen. First, Maoists have changed their ideology from whatever it was to "democratic republic", which should be acceptable to everybody and it does appear so. Then there aren't many people willing to unite with the King anymore. So, we will have to wait until Maoists enter the mainstream politics to see if they are honest or not about their commitment to "democratic republic". Assumption of otherwise of a few people like you and me is not going to convince anybody. I think the test of Maoist's honesty will be when they agree to disarm. From what Maoists are saying and from practical point of view, Maoists should lay down their arm after the election of CA and before the election of parliament. So, if everything goes according to the roadmap that we know now, we are not very far from that point. Nepe