Good analysis by both of you guys ! nepe here is what i have to say: point4:ABout the bargain with maoist.Do you think middle people really trust maoist that they will be ready to bargain for it.The true nature of maoist is not mystery to nepalese.even after the 25 point code of conduct .recently they abducted 250 students.So that bargaining would be quite costly. about international support: Nepal cannot even move one step further without international support So saying that there was no external influence in janadloan ii is questionable. you raised the point about fair election.I still don't think there is going to be fair election .if there is one there is no way republic can get landslide victory.,though it seems like it.Only stand is where does NC stand ?and GP being monarch and change resistance forces most likely they would be slient in this issue. About UML , there are both kind of forces in UML.So cannot really say they would go 100% with republic .They may be divided in this issue .As well as fear of maoist exteremism might hinder their thoughts. I think at this point all the forces should unite against maoist and stop impsoing thier idealogy on nepalese people.however it may be .by defending king if it comes down to that.