Newuser le garya analysis padham ekphera: Posted on 05-09-05 3:43 AM Reply | Notify Admin The latest agreement between India and China inclusive of Kalapani further bolsters the CPN Maoist's analysis that Nepal has to confront Indian expansionism to safeguard it's survival. The maoists strategy is to build up a military that can deal with the Indians to restrict them from occupying Nepal. But this strategy simply doesn't work as there is no possibility of Nepal being able to confront India militarily. No matter some of their analysis are proving to be true, the Maoists are totally wrong in executing their tactics. There is no point in believing the group whose core idealogy is full of extreme flaws. So, a shrewd diplomatic and political approach should be taken to restrict Indian motives of occupying Nepalese land of strategic and economic importance. They would not try to annex Nepal like Sikkim in the foreseeable future, but they will certainly continue to encroach our land which will shrink Nepal's area by squares of kilometres every year. In fact in the 21st century, big military powers can easily annex smaller countries if they really want to expand their territory. Obviously the United Nations and other international treaties that have been signed to safeguard the existence of smaller sovereign impede them. But if they wish, they can do what they like. China can unite Taiwan with it's main land and India can at least force military occupation in Nepal. It has already occupied Kalapani and more or less got Chinese approval in legitimising the area as it's own territory. India does not want to take full control of Nepal which is already full of mess but it does want to control Nepal's water resources. It has been exploiting Nepal's political instability to gain control over Nepalese water but it's final motive is to deploy it's security forces in the areas from where it can totally control Nepal's water.(Just like the US army is doing with Iraq's oilfields). So it is trying to create the situation for military intervention in Nepal. The Maoists rebellion is providing the stage for fulfilling Indian motives. There are every possibilities that the Indian army will invade Nepal(with the apporval of King Gyanendra or the political leaders) in the name of helping the country to confront the Maoists. Whatever statements Indian diplomats and politicians are making, they do not want a settlement without a big influence of India on the Maoists problem. Now the only way to stop Indian military intervention in Nepal is to forge a peaceful settlement with the Maoists. The palace, parties and the Maoists should make an agreement which would pave the way for estabilishing a stable government and a strong legislature. A united political force should then attempt to end all the border disputes with India. Indo-Nepal border needs a new demarcation and fortification. For a new demarcation, Nepal should rather agree to loose some land of it which India has already encroached but it should not allow India to further encroach Nepal's land. Without a final demarcation and fortification, Nepal will be loosing it's land inch by inch. A strong government, a united policy on India,and an end of over- dependence on India by the rulers can help Nepal withstand Indian expansionism. Otherwise, Indian military will be taking control of our water resources within the next decade.And no one can totally dismiss the possibility of Nepal ending up being another Sikkim,specially if the current political turmoil is not sorted out soon. Make no mistake, China won't give a shit if India intervened Nepal. Ani heram tesko ek hapta pachhi 'Nepal' ma chhapieko report: -http://www.kantipuronline.com/Nepal/ नेपाली पानीमा भारतीय आँखा