Here's a fourth possible scenario: 1. Army quits, King quits, Nepal gets declared as republic. 2. BUT, chaos reigns supreme. 3. After prolonged hardship and political confusion, an intermediate ad hoc government is formed with Maoists as part of it. 4. Everybody disagrees with everybody. 5. Violence ensues, demonstrations continue, International community intervenes and fails. 6. Nepal becomes another Sierra Leone.