ZalimS,
First let me just say that, technically speaking, your reasoning is obviously logical and correct.
That said; let me just elaborate on my posting, which, if I may, began with - "At times, I "FEEL". . ."
Obviously, I plucked the percentage (25%) out of the thin air. The sole motive for me to do that was to make it look outlandish (imagine the poll sample with a possibility of 25% as margin of error) LOL. If that would be the case, why take poll at all, right? We all can calmly sip some Jack Daniels and listen to some soothing music and use some deductive reasoning and conceive some numbers, like I did. :)
Why did I do it?
Well, first I wanted to emphasize the fact that these poll results seems to vary every other month, if not weeks. My sole motive was to illuminate the fact that poll is nothing but a snapshot, a moment captured in camera at that particular moment, depending on, among others, sample size and other knick knacks that you mentioned.
Also, what I feel the critical factor is - circumstances; the outside influencing factors that drives the subject while exercising his/her judgment at that particular moment. Which of course varies as the circumstances changes.
That U.S election aftermath were mentioned solely to purport my reasoning that polls, even when considered reasonably "correct" in terms of what it interprets, could be absolutely flawed. If, a country as wealthy as U.S, and the entities who conducted those polls, as professional as they are, came up with wrong conclusion, there is every chance that the polls such as above are flawed. That was the sole reason why I picked that particular instance. Nothing more.
If you would ignore the "25%"%” and go for the gist of what I wanted to interpret, perhaps that might help.
Like I said earlier, I was speaking for any poll in general, "especially" if the shoe fits.
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What_more,
Yours and my postings were almost like "ghumdai firdai rumjhaltar."
Indeed, I was saying the same thing. However, the mere difference: I was "implying" and you were "absolute."
Also, my thoughts are not "result specific" for this particular poll alone. Even if the outcome was tilted in dissimilar direction, my understanding would have been identical.
SPA le chal nabujne kaha ho ra mitra, chal ma sahabhagi pani bhanchan. Kyarne, yestai cha!
IndisGuise:)
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