Posted by: geico September 10, 2009
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If I have understood your question correctly it can be modeled with binomial distribution.
Part a).
The probability function of Y is:
f(y) = (n choose y)*p^y*(1-p)^(n-y)
where 0 =< y =< 4, n = 4, and probability of choosing new formula (p) = 1/2
Part b).
P( Y => 3) = 1 - P(Y =< 3)
P(Y =< 3) = Summation {f(y)}
Part c).
E(Y) is mean of Y and mean of binomial distribution is n*p
E(Y) = np
Part d).
Variance of binomial distribution is n*p*(1-p)
Now you plug in the numbers and you should get the answers. I hope that helps... good luck with that!