The table clearly shows Nepal have the better chance after winning all its match but UAe is a tough team.
Nepal have scored less runs in total than UAE .... which is typical for Nepali team. The aggregate of Nepali teams run is the second from the bottom. This shows the flaw in our batting.

On the other hand, Nepal have conceaded the least run in the tournament. Its also typical with Nepali team who have bowlers like Shakti and Binod Das.

Non of our opening batsman have scored even a half century yet.  Kaniska is still in holiday mood and Paresh hardly fires in pressure. Sending Mahesh Chettri down at number 8/9 is a big mistake. He should be opening instead of Paresh.

Nepals back bone to win the match is the strong and in form middle order. Parash have a big responsibility to score. Sarad and Gyanendra must also be ready for anything as the opening batsman are still not firing. The lower order boosted by Shakti, Alam, Basanta and Mahesh is still untested but they all have brilliant batting record in the book. They also be prepared for the big day. UAE have taken all possible 40 wickets in the last four match. So, Binod Das batting at number 10 is a big bonus for the team.

Nepals bowling must have some plan to send Ashrad Ali back to pavilion as soon as possible. Use the Aussie style of gaming or South African style of bullying, but take Ashrad Ali out of the pitch as soon as possible. Binod Das have brilliant track record against UAE but he hasnt fired up yet. Parash Khadkas medium pace isnt working much either, so rather than playing another specialist spinner on number 11, get a paceman who can trouble the Arabians.