loote, these poll results mean nothing for november election.  these results will change every week or so and we have more than 8 months to go.  if poll results will remain consistent until that time, then definitely obama has upperhand.  Also,  we still dont know what would be the major issues.  i guess it also depends upon the major issues. ( economy, immigration, healthcare, iraq war ....).  even obama is leading in recent polls, i am not sure if he can keep this momentum going.