Painstaking analysis I must say- I agree to certain extent with Sri Lanka bringing cup home. One of the primary reasons why they would do so is, the islanders have less to lose at this standpoint, they have already done an incredible job and although the pressure surmounts every second, they are not expected to win the world cup as much as Australians are. A minnow (comparitively) who is a little under pressure can be as lethal as a juggernaut. Kangaroos are under enormous pressure because they are unarguably the best team and would try to retain that position. Warne is no longer with them and they have little a answer to the spinning venom of muralitharan. If Australians fall for a doosra, the final is a piece of cake for Lankans. On the flip side, Gilchrist outclasses sangakkara on a good batting wicket and McGrath's unparralleled deliveries are beyond comparison to any Sri Lankan pacers. If both analysis fail to bring about an unequivocal result, one must look at the ability of Aussie Batsmen, even a batsman down the order is ton-worthy, enough to steer kangaroos home.