Posted by: Nepe May 9, 2006
Nepe and Ashu
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Chipji, It's quite irritating to see that you appear to be in impression that I subscribe to communist ideology. Where did you get that stupid impression ? I have been a staunch democrat and republican since sometime around 1985-86. My growing faith in democracy and freedom and disillusion with communist ideology was exactly what made me quit ANNFSU with which I was associated around that time. Since there were no democratic republican parties around, I did not join any political parties and I have been an independent person throughout my life since then. I have shared this story in this forum for umpteenth time. Did you never come across this or you simply not trusting what I said ? In any case, please give final rest to your misunderstanding about me. I will appreciate that. *** *** *** *** *** *** *** Kalekrishnaji, My speculation is that, if everything goes as it is, candidates who publicly declare their support for republic are going to win, with overwhelming to clear majority, in the election of CA. Ceremonial monarchists will fill the rest. There will be no or negligible score for active monarchy or status quo. Even if "proportional" or "mixed proportional" voting system is adopted for CA, the result will be similar. Now, if you are asking whether the Maoists will accept "ceremonial monarchy" despite clear victory of "democratic republic", then my answer is No. In fact, I think the Maoists will have to do nothing. The voters themselves will reject it. We will probably see some kind of popular agitation right when they learn this kind of compromise/manipulation is going on. If you were asking what if election of CA does not bring majority votes for republic, then I think he circumstances in which this would happen will determine Maoist's position. If this happened in a relatively "fair and free" election, which I think is very unlikely, the Maoists will be under the pressure and obligation to accept monarchy. On the other hand, if this happened in a "dhandhalipurna" atmosphere (a likely scenario would be GP Koirala using state resources, like Surya Bahadur did in 2036 ko Janamat Sanghaha, to defeat republic candidates), then the Maoists will not accept the result of the election of CA. Once again, pro-republic mass and the Maoists will be together and we will probably see Jana-andolan III. One thing that I see important is, CA is now not really necessary to make monarchy a "ceremonial" one. Because, after Jana-andolan II, right now, de facto, monarchy is already "ceremonial". So the Maoists are not going to take/accept CA as a gamble with equal chance for "ceremonial monarchy" and "republic". They will accept CA's procedure, election , result, proceedings, and final product only when they increase the chance for "republic". And the Maoists have all the trump cards this time. Nepe
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