Posted by: newuser February 6, 2005
Thinking Impartially and sensibly
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Why could have India supported the King? Althought his moves breach India's stance on democracy, Gyanendra's successful persuasion to India to accept his autocracy in Nepal may have been yeilded for a number of reasons.In politics the share of interests makes the crucial developments(ghatanakram). And here Gyanendra and India have some common interests for which an unpredictable and unviable bondage came into force. First and foremost cause must have been the growing stature of the maoists rebels. As many pundits opine, India had two alternatives to choose from. The Maoists or the King. India could have never choosen a bitter enemy then the maoists to run its northern neigbour. Indian Maoists rebels have given a severe headache to India itself, so it doesn't want to see Maoists building up rapidly to a bigger proposition in Nepal. Some years back, Maoists may have served Indian interests . BUt no more now. In recent months Maoists have been openly criticising and challenging India. The relation between the rebels operating in eastern and northern India and the Nepalese maoists was increasingly threatening as well. Not in the scale of defeating Indian military but big enough to cause considerable security worries. Besides, the global war on terrorism and the US involvement in Nepal to help the government to quell the rebellion must have raised some alarms in India. How can a regional power tolerate to seeing a far off superpower playing bigger roles on the politics of it's neighbour? That was not the only case. America must have urged India to cooperate with the Nepalis government to defeat Maoists. Indian waited and waited for long, gave military and logistic supports to Nepal, but the security forces could hardly control the Maoists expansion. Hence when Gyanendra asked for a chance for himself, it couldn't say no.If Gyanendra could crush the rebels, that will only help to India's causes. Because if Gyanendra fails, either India has to accept maoists rule in the country or intervene militarily. Why would it choose for the alternatives that ask for it's direct military involvement. Moreover any military intervention by India would never be a welcome move in Nepal.So the Indians agreed to give Gyanendra a chance even it was against their belief that Multiparty democracy and constituional monarchy are the two pillars of Nepal's stability and development. But maoists alone were not the cause of concern for the Indians. They have also seen enough of our political leaders. Our leaders have never been consistent while approaching to the INDIANS. They just fly to Delhi to get blessings for the formation of a new government. They speak one thing with the Indians and give a different version back in Nepal. In the last 16 years, none of our leaders have given India the assurance that they could be entrusted to safeguard Indian interest totally(which is at least something good for Nepal). So India do not see much difference between the King and the political leaders. India may have given the benefit of doubt this time to the king in the wake that Nepalis leaders were not consistently faithful to them in the last 16 years. Gyanendra himself has a very good family ties with the Indian political elites by virtue of the Indian roots of Himani. So he could not be a step brother to India in expense of Girija. Not much difference can Gyanendra and Girirja make in the Indian perspective. Politics apart, the biggest interest of all lies on the water resources of Nepal. Water for irrigation in the vast agro fields of Bihar and Uttar pradesh and electricity for the same states are two of the most important factors that pulls India's attention to Nepal. The Indians have very badly exploited the ineptness of our leaders while compelling them to agree treaties on water share in the past. They have dumped and duped every rulers in the last 50 years and cleverly used our resources for their benefit. They have already diverted a big portion of our water and electricity as their own property but they are eyeing for more rewards. Naymore, They have the responsibility to protect their citizens from enudation resulted by the flooding of rivers in monsoon. The best thing is to divert the course of the river lowering the risk of flood in India in the expense of Nepal. They have many mega and mini projects in their drawing board which they intend to work out in coming years. They cannot complete those projects without the acceptance of Nepal just to meet the international law which they should abide by while sharing water resources flowing from a border country. Political bickering and instability in Nepal is the best tool for them to take advantage. They support the rulers who agree on their conditions. Hence we cannot rule out the possibilty that Gyanendra has to agree on their upcoming proposals on water share. If he doesn't, he will have to go. Bilateral trade with Nepal is not very important for the Indians, but still they want monopoly in this regard too. We must realise that our ministry of supply has indeed kept the interests of Nepal entact during the last few years. They have said no to many of India's unfair conditions on the hassle free export of Nepalese products in India.They made a big heck on the trade of vegetable ghee for more then 4 years and cut off agreed quotas on many Nepalese products. They have always put obstacle in balanced trade for which Nepal has lost it grounds on textile industry. Trade deficit is huge. Smuggling of cheap oil from Nepal is however encouraged by state governments. Irrelevant trade agreement might be made in the years of Gyanendra's autocractic regime. An area to be watched closely. However, For all these reasons, there is no point to hate India and Indians. They have better governance, better diplomacy and they are doing good for their interests. Its our rulers who have succumbed meekly and cheaply to the Indians to protect their stay in power. We may have to loose some of our resources to India while Gyanendra fulfills his ambition to carry on his despotic rules in the coming years. To be continued... Guys post your comments pls.
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